September 2, 2009

Forex Technical Analysis EUR/USD - Is USD looking bullish in Forex Charts?

Technical Analysis of Forex Charts is tricky thing. Sometimes multiple technical indicators can't tell you what direction will the market go and sometime by looking at just 1 indicator you can more or less guess the upcoming trend.

For example, if you look at 1 hr chart on EUR/USD, you can clearly see that the market is facing some strong resistance at 1.4400 levels. It tested this resistance level multiple times in last 2-3 days. And still the resistance level was not breached.

When I zoomed up at the forex daily charts of EUR/USD, I saw that in the past few weeks market tried breaking the level, but couldn't and reversed in the other direction.

To find out why that is, I started looking at the weekly charts, which showed the reason - And that is that market is currently facing touching the 61.8% fibonacci level of the major bearish trend that started in Oct-2008 and ended in Dec-08 which lasted for 3300 pips!!

So, looks like USD is again going to have a significant rally and may start gaining upper hand against major currencies such as EUR, GBP etc..

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